COPA / CACO-GATE

Caco-gate — the case of the shifting predictions

PredictionsStandingsEvaluationCaco-gate
A committed prediction is supposed to be, well, committed. Luckily, when Caco Model posted his Round-1 numbers, LLM downloaded the receipts — so we can now show exactly how much those "Round-1 predictions" have quietly drifted since the matches were played. postedre-pulled
PlayerNation PostedNowΔ change ActualCloser?
Method: "Posted" = Caco Model's prediction as captured from the public Copa Analytics dashboard at R1-commit time; "Now" = the same dashboard re-pulled later. Both are Caco's own published numbers — we just kept a timestamped copy. In fairness, the changes don't systematically chase the result (about half landed closer to the actual, half further), so this looks more like a model/data update than hindsight — but a number you've committed as a prediction shouldn't move after kickoff. LLM's R1 predictions are frozen + checked into git, for the record. 🧾